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Ron DeSantis' campaign has laid off roughly 1/3 of its staffers in recent weeks. DeSantis' campaign confirmed Politico's reporting that the Florida governor is organizing a massive reset. "Following a top-to-bottom review of our organization, we have taken additional, aggressive steps to streamline operations and put Ron DeSantis in the strongest position to win this primary and defeat Joe Biden," Campaign Manager Generra Peck said in a statement released by DeSantis' campaign. Politico reported on Tuesday that DeSantis' campaign has laid off a total of 38 aides and advisors as it seeks to achieve a reset of its efforts. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, DeSantis started the year roughly six points behind Trump in national polling.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump's, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Generra Peck, Biden, Trump Organizations: Service, Gov, Politico, Trump Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Iowa
President Joe Biden raised over $72 million for his 2024 reelection effort in the second quarter of this year, according to the Biden-Harris campaign. The fundraising success was spread across all of Biden's reelection entities, including his campaign and joint fundraising committees. The Biden entities ended the quarter with a combined $77 million in cash on hand for a presidential campaign battle next year that is poised to be the most expensive in American history. DeSantis' campaign, which officially launched in May, raised $20 million. The Biden campaign said that its $77 million cash on hand for Team Biden "represents the highest total amassed by a Democrat at any comparable point in history."
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Emmett Till, Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, MAGA, Rodriguez, Spokespeople Organizations: White, Biden, Democratic National Committee, Democratic, Florida Gov, Republican, PAC, Trump, CNBC Locations: Rose, Washington , DC
But DeSantis 2024 campaign polling shows it could help him with Republican voters in a primary. Ryan Tyson, pollster for the campaign, found the company was deeply unpopular among Republicans primary, according to findings shared with The Messenger. "The campaign thinks this is a very good issue for primary voters," Dan Eberhart, CEO of drilling services company Canary, LLC, told Insider. Neither campaign responded to a query from Insider addressing whether they had polling that conflicted with the DeSantis campaign findings. When combining this week's calling efforts with online donations, the DeSantis campaign raised $8.2 million in the fist 24 hours of the campaign.
Kyrsten Sinema’s Party of One
  + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Robert Draper | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +3 min
Katie Hobbs, who received almost 11 percent of the Republican vote in her 2022 victory over the far-right Kari Lake. Sinema, even before she left the party in December, had become the Democrat whom Democrats love to hate. In January 2022, after her refusal to pass voting rights legislation by discarding the Senate filibuster that stood in the way, Sinema was censured by Arizona’s Democratic Party. “The decision was really a no-brainer,” a former state party official told me, adding that the censure resolution was supported by more than 90 percent of Arizona’s Democratic precinct committee members. Hobbs, on the other hand, relied heavily on the turnout of a progressive base that might have reacted poorly to Sinema’s presence on the stump.
The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024
  + stars: | 2023-04-30 | by ( Simone Pathe | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +19 min
The GOP needs a net gain of one or two seats to flip the chamber, depending on which party wins the White House in 2024, and it’s Democrats who are defending the tougher seats. Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia – the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. In a presidential year, the national environment is likely to loom large, especially with battleground states hosting key Senate races. Two businessmen with the ability to tap into or raise significant resources could be in the mix – Eric Hovde, who lost the GOP Senate nomination in 2012, and Scott Mayer. Still, unseating Cruz in a state Trump won by nearly 6 points in 2020 will be a tall order.
These are the top Senate races to watch in 2024
  + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
They have reason to be hopeful: Democrats face a daunting 2024 Senate map that puts them on defense in 23 of the cycle's 34 races, including multiple seats considered ripe for GOP challenges. The grim outlook has some Senate Democrats considering retirement, even after the caucus expanded to a 51-49 majority following a better-than-expected showing in the midterms. Jim Justice, reportedly the state's richest man and one of its favored contenders for the Senate race. But the 2024 Senate race in Ohio is currently considered a toss-up, as Republicans have made significant gains in the state in the last two election cycles. Sabato's Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report both say the Michigan Senate race leans Democratic.
Arizona Democrat Ruben Gallego outraised Independent Kyrsten Sinema in the first quarter of 2023. Gallego's campaign reported raising $3.74 million, while Sinema raised $2.1 million, per the FEC. The Grand Canyon State could potentially boast the most competitive Senate race in the US next year. The outcome of a competitive three-way Arizona race could very well determine control of the Senate. And the race would also be held with the concurrent presidential election, which could feature a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.
Trump's 2024 campaign said it raised $5 million in the 48 hours after he was indicted, per Axios. More than 16,000 people also signed up to volunteer on Trump's website in the first 24 hours after his indictment, Axios reported, citing Trump's campaign spokesperson. On Friday, Trump's campaign said it raised $4 million in the 24 hours after the indictment announcement. More than a quarter of these contributions came from first-time donors, and the average sum given was $34, the Trump campaign said. In a Sunday message to supporters seen by Insider, Trump's campaign bragged that it had "OUTRAISED THEM ALL!"
GOP leaders are seeking out wealthy Senate candidates to counter Democratic fundraising successes. In recent cycles, some GOP candidates have used outside spending to mitigate spending disparities. Last year, Democratic Senate nominees in the six most competitive races outraised their GOP counterparts by $288 million, per Politico. The well-known doctor poured $26.8 million of his own funds into his unsuccessful Senate campaign, according to OpenSecrets. Dolan, who put more than $10.5 million into his 2022 Senate bid, could face Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown.
The Republican Party will end the once promising 2022 cycle having failed to reach many of its goals. This is not how the Republican Party envisioned 2022. In particular, many GOP candidates, including Walker, continue to underperform in fastly growing suburbs. It's all about the candidatesGeorgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker speaks with supporters during a campaign rally in Milton, Ga., on November 21, 2022. While several Republican hopefuls have illustrated that suburban voters are not unreachable, Trump-backed hopefuls have routinely struggled.
McALLEN, Texas — Republican Monica De La Cruz is the winner in Texas' 15th Congressional District race, NBC News projects, defeating Democrat Michelle Vallejo in an open South Texas district that had once been solidly blue. De La Cruz said amid cheers at the Radisson Hotel McAllen, where about 200 to 300 supporters had gathered, anxiously waiting for election results. It is a win for all South Texas," De La Cruz said. De La Cruz outraised Vallejo, a progressive, by $4.2 million to $1.9 million, according to the campaign finance tracking site Open Secrets. De La Cruz, a businesswoman, was endorsed by former President Donald Trump.
WASHINGTON — New Hampshire Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan won re-election Tuesday, NBC News projects, defeating Republican Don Bolduc and keeping a critical seat in Democratic hands. While the race attracted less attention than some others, Hassan won her Senate seat six years ago in one of the closest races in the country, and Democrats had grown increasingly nervous in recent weeks as Bolduc seemed to gain strength in polls. After winning the nomination, however, he waffled on 2020, saying the election had not been stolen. Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan at a campaign event on Sept. 10 in Dover, N.H. Scott Eisen / Getty ImagesHe often feuded with fellow Republicans, including his state’s popular Gov. Democrats meddled in the primary because they thought Bolduc would be easier to defeat in the general election.
Republican Katie Britt is running against Democrat Will Boyd to represent Alabama in the US Senate. Britt has outraised and outspent Boyd by leaps and bounds, and is strongly favored to win. Alabama's Senate race candidatesBritt, who is endorsed by former President Donald Trump, worked on Shelby's 2015 reelection campaign as his deputy campaign manager and communications director. The money raceAccording to OpenSecrets, Britt has raised $10.6 million, spent $9.1 million, and has $1.5 million cash on hand, as of October 19. What experts sayThe race between Britt and Boyd is rated as "solid Republican" by Inside Elections, "solid Republican" by The Cook Political Report, and "safe Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
Sen. Mike Crapo is running against Democrat David Roth to represent Idaho in the US Senate. Idaho's Senate race candidatesFirst elected in 1998, Crapo has served in Congress for nearly a quarter of a century. Prior to entering Congress, the native Idahoan served for nearly a decade in the Idaho State Senate and for three terms in the US House. Roth unsuccessfully ran for the Idaho State Legislature in 2020. Idaho's voting historyThe state voted for then-President Donald Trump over Joe Biden by a margin of about 30 percentage points in the 2020 election.
A Doug Mastriano rally in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, featured praying and wading into culture wars. National and state Republican donors and groups have offered little support to his candidacy. "He's just been there the whole time," a Mastriano voter in Bucks County who only identified himself as Jeremy, told Insider. "You can't get your message out one-on-one to voters," Josh Novotney, a Pennsylvania GOP strategist, told Insider. "It's a different tactic and I pray it works," Joe Vichot, chairman of Lehigh County's GOP, told Insider.
Now, Jim Obergefell — the man for which that case was named — is running for Ohio state House. "But you know, the nice thing is, everything I went through with the court case — a lot of that really prepared me for something like this." The "court case" in question was Obergefell v. Hodges, the landmark 2015 civil rights case in which the Supreme Court ruled five to four that same-sex couples were guaranteed the right to marry. "I don't start with it, and I don't focus on it," he said of his association with the 2015 Supreme Court case. "Very, very few of them have a Supreme Court case that happened because of that relationship."
Democrat Josh Shapiro and Republican Doug Mastriano are running for Pennsylvania governor. Mastriano, a state senator, sought to overturn the 2020 election in Pennsylvania. Mastriano, a Republican state senator first elected in 2019, narrowly emerged from a fractured field of Republican candidates for Pennsylvania governor in May. Mastriano is perhaps best known for pushing the lie that the 2020 election was stolen and leading the efforts in Pennsylvania to overturn President Donald Trump's loss in the 2020 election in Pennsylvania. In his ads, Shapiro has hammered Mastriano as an extremist, including highlighting his position on abortion and his ties to far-right and nationalist figures.
Laura Kelly is seeking a second term as governor of Kansas. Laura Kelly is running for a second term against Republican Attorney General Derek Schmidt in Kansas. Kansas' gubernatorial candidatesKelly, a moderate Democrat first elected in 2018, is seeking a second term in office, running on her record in leading Kansas through the COVID-19 pandemic. Her opponent, Attorney General Derek Schmidt, has hammered Kelly over issues including Kansas' educational and foster care systems. Kansas' gubernatorial race also follows Kansas voters in August decisively rejecting a ballot referendum that would have eliminated the right to abortion from the Kansas Constitution.
WelcomePAC, a Democratic-funded group that aims to reach ticket-splitting voters this fall, has launched a six-figure advertising campaign against Republican J.D. “WelcomePAC is launching the ‘Why No J.D.’ campaign to highlight why so many disaffected Republicans and independents are rejecting J.D. Luke Schroeder, a spokesperson for the Vance campaign, cast the effort as a waste of money. Ryan has tailored his message to appeal to independent and GOP voters and his campaign has far outraised Vance’s. He also spends considerable time in his stump speeches wrestling with Ryan’s overtures to GOP voters.
Ron DeSantis and Democrat Charlie Crist debated on Monday. Ron DeSantis and Democrat Charlie Crist, a former congressman, faced off Monday in their lone debate before the election to decide who will lead Florida over the next four years. DeSantis has become a fan favorite to run for president in 2024, particularly if former President Donald Trump doesn't run again. DeSantis tied Crist to BidenOn the campaign trail, DeSantis rarely says Crist's name. Crist has openly supported and embraced Biden, and the president is scheduled to campaign with Crist in Florida on November 1.
WisconsinDemocrats see Republican Sen. Ron Johnson as a vulnerable incumbent. Barnes has espoused progressive views in office, but his Senate campaign has focused more on pocketbook issues such as inflation and taxes. Vance appears locked in a tight Senate race against Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan, despite running in a red-leaning state that Trump won handily in 2020. Incumbent Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan's approval ratings have fallen, including among unaffiliated voters who make up a major chunk of the state's electorate. FloridaFormer Orlando police chief and Democratic Rep. Val Demings aims to unseat incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio.
Democrats running in some of the country's closest Senate races headed into the final weeks of their campaigns with a cash edge over their Republican rivals, according to newly released Federal Election Commission records. While Democratic candidates have outraised Republicans in many of the most important Senate races, outside GOP groups such as the Mitch McConnell-aligned Senate Leadership Fund have helped to close the gap. Fetterman leads GOP candidate Mehmet Oz by more than 3 percentage points, according to RealClearPolitics. Warnock also leads Republican Herschel Walker by an average of about 3 percentage points, according to the site. The Nevada incumbent trails Republican Adam Laxalt by an average of just under 2 percentage points, according to RealClearPolitics.
Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock’s campaign reported raising more than $26.4 million from July through September. Democratic candidates outraised their Republican opponents in 10 of the most competitive Senate races as the midterm campaigns headed into the final stretch before Election Day, new fundraising reports filed with the Federal Election Commission show. More than $175 million flowed into the campaigns of Democratic Senate candidates across those races in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, according to reports filed over the weekend. That compares to nearly $77 million for opposing Republican campaigns.
Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, running for re-election to the U.S. Senate in the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, appears in an undated handout photo obtained by Reuters on October 5, 2022. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly outraised his opponent, Republican Blake Masters, in the third quarter, according to Federal Election Commission Records. Kelly's campaign went into October, weeks before the midterm elections, with almost six times the amount of cash on hand. Masters, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump, brought in over $4.7 million over that same time period. Kelly's campaign went into October with over $13 million on hand while Masters had just above $2.8 million in his war chest.
“And I will accept the result if I don’t.”Arizona Republican nominee for governor Kari Lake sign a campaign poster for a supporter on Oct. 7 in Scottsdale. Mario Tama / Getty ImagesLake has seized on Hobbs’ refusal to debate and centered it during recent campaign appearances. Kristi Noem, a Republican, in Scottsdale last week, Lake again sharply criticized Hobbs for eschewing a statewide debate. The Kelly campaign told NBC News the senator does not have any imminent plans to campaign with Hobbs. Chuck Coughlin, an Arizona Republican pollster, said there are some “traditional Republican voters that are going, ‘No f---ing way, I’m not going there.
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